Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 428.522930 488.192301 554.797829 634.952651 729.184034 836.915754 970.073461
2025-10-12 351.936013 432.569086 531.122788 661.698974 832.035802 1049.309559 1351.655360
2025-10-19 303.537207 391.475119 505.399841 666.202534 891.229847 1200.920191 1670.048734
2025-10-26 262.389422 351.132727 471.398512 649.827333 913.992566 1300.878595 1930.197799
2025-11-02 232.725620 321.240199 445.853980 638.810775 938.855652 1403.193812 2208.764521
2025-11-09 216.866519 308.206150 441.520525 656.593202 1007.383084 1580.653267 2641.954187
2025-11-16 198.409305 288.929530 425.115365 652.619928 1039.266626 1701.965052 3001.906359
2025-11-23 181.796528 270.497479 407.588380 643.885080 1060.743265 1807.211425 3352.882267
2025-11-30 169.985406 258.209283 398.154562 646.842843 1101.991298 1953.432130 3815.923111
2025-12-07 156.782474 242.385842 381.228183 634.536900 1113.235449 2043.912488 4182.306773
2025-12-14 146.689756 230.692303 369.923209 630.593656 1139.100032 2166.660952 4648.742749
2025-12-21 134.178770 213.908174 348.364923 605.389436 1119.872251 2192.950107 4894.970317
2025-12-28 130.619869 212.258700 353.343687 631.142145 1208.167321 2468.300562 5841.821913
2026-01-04 127.728996 211.520735 359.881552 660.791366 1309.658690 2795.050288 7034.422729
2026-01-11 121.581102 204.434229 354.045725 664.929021 1356.329945 3002.638328 7964.050079
2026-01-18 113.413070 193.039717 339.110787 648.630709 1354.526191 3090.657829 8565.922693
2026-01-25 106.646600 183.720850 327.335042 637.633632 1363.381395 3207.826442 9302.344222
2026-02-01 103.746395 181.391633 328.886504 655.377715 1443.516414 3531.429044 10856.952488
2026-02-08 98.702508 174.604847 321.010509 651.413080 1469.538424 3711.330367 11976.656133
2026-02-15 93.576286 167.300748 311.494188 642.697330 1482.213200 3855.869399 13025.707626
2026-02-22 89.990585 162.758075 307.254737 645.648633 1525.867947 4103.245230 14601.004936
2026-03-01 85.242760 155.597024 297.006377 633.369529 1526.815630 4218.766591 15674.355180
2026-03-08 81.586051 150.395696 290.510487 629.434866 1550.346922 4413.116595 17201.866855